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Din. Samarkand vs FC Lochin

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan Cup 2025 Dinamo Samarkand Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mirakhmadov M.
6'
Polvonov A.
9'
Sub
Yuldoshev S. In: Safarov J.
Out: Yuldoshev S.

AI Match Summary

Din. Samarkand host FC Lochin in the Uzbekistan Cup 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Din. Samarkand have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against FC Lochin's 1.75 scored and 0.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Din. Samarkand have won 1 to FC Lochin's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2025, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.94, favoring Din. Samarkand. Din. Samarkand in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Din. Samarkand
6%
Draws
90%
FC Lochin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Lochin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Din. Samarkand has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to FC Lochin.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FC Lochin.
  • Cup tournament structure in Uzbekistan Cup 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 10%
FC Lochin Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Samarkand FC Lochin
Matches Played 31 10
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Din. Samarkand vs FC Lochin
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirakhmadov M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmonov F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FC Lochin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Samarkand 10 / 100
FC Lochin 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Samarkand FC Lochin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Samarkand scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

FC Lochin let in goals in 40% of their last 10 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Din. Samarkand went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Lochin lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Samarkand VS FC Lochin
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kokand 19121
Bunyodkor2
Buxoro3
OKMK1
Sogdiana4
Qizilqum1
Xorazm Urganch1
Navbahor Namangan3
Pakhtakor2
Olimpik-Mobiuz1
Neftchi Fargona0
Mashal Muborak1
Din. Samarkand5
FC Lochin0
Shortan Guzor4
Aral1
Quarter-finals
Bunyodkor2
Buxoro4
Sogdiana4
Navbahor Namangan0
Pakhtakor3
Mashal Muborak1
Din. Samarkand3
Shortan Guzor0
Semi-finals
Buxoro3
Sogdiana2
Pakhtakor1
Din. Samarkand0
Final
Buxoro0
Pakhtakor1