Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Din. Samarkand vs Lok. Tashkent Prediction & H2H Stats

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand
Din. Samarkand Logo

Din. Samarkand

1 - 2
FT
Lok. Tashkent Logo

Lok. Tashkent

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Salou D.
25'
Nurulloev S.
34' Event
Abdukholikov T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lok. Tashkent in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Tashkent.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Din. Samarkand
30%
Draws
39%
Lok. Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lok. Tashkent

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lok. Tashkent lately — more wins on the board than Din. Samarkand.
  • Win probability leans Lok. Tashkent's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 13%
Lok. Tashkent Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Samarkand Lok. Tashkent
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Din. Samarkand
2:1
Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Lok. Tashkent
1:2
Nov 7, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Lok. Tashkent
1:2
Jun 17, 2024 Super League
Lok. Tashkent vs Din. Samarkand
0:2
Sep 4, 2023 Pro Liga
Din. Samarkand vs Lok. Tashkent
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Amonov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lok. Tashkent Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdukholikov T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Samarkand 19 / 100
Lok. Tashkent 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Samarkand Lok. Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Tashkent Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Din. Samarkand scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Lok. Tashkent's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Din. Samarkand stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Samarkand VS Lok. Tashkent
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Samarkand

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Tashkent

(Away)
20 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
0 : 1
Neftchi Fargona
15 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0
Mashal Muborak
04 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
26 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
4 : 1
Bunyodkor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 22 16 3 3 50:17 51
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 22 5 6 11 18:32 21
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)