Sport Picks
Din. Samarkand vs Pakhtakor
Uzbekistan
Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand 
Match Events
45'
45'
Amonov A.
45'
45'
Buriev A.
45'
45'
Ibrokhimov I.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Din. Samarkand and Pakhtakor finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Din. Samarkand haven't matched Pakhtakor's recent run of results.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 19%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Din. Samarkand | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
4:2
Sep 25, 2025 Uzbekistan Cup
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
1:0
Aug 11, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Din. Samarkand
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdurakhmonov F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Erkinov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Din. Samarkand 32 / 100
Pakhtakor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Din. Samarkand Pakhtakor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Din. Samarkand scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Pakhtakor let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Din. Samarkand has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Din. Samarkand VS Pakhtakor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Din. Samarkand
(Home) 25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
14 Aug
Din. Samarkand
2 : 2 Xorazm Urganch
03 Aug
Din. Samarkand
0 : 0 Neftchi Fargona
29 Jul
Din. Samarkand
3 : 2 Kokand 1912
02 May
Din. Samarkand
3 : 1 Mashal Muborak
Page 1 of 3
Pakhtakor
(Away) 04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
21 Aug
Pakhtakor
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
16 Aug
Nasaf Qarshi
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
01 Aug
Andijan
0 : 0 Pakhtakor
26 Jul
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Pakhtakor
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 47:16 | 45 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 34:18 | 43 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 38 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 28:20 | 34 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33:27 | 32 |
| 6 | OKMK | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 28:25 | 32 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:20 | 28 |
| 8 | Andijan | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:23 | 27 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:30 | 26 |
| 10 | Sogdiana | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 32:39 | 24 |
| 11 | Qizilqum | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 17:26 | 23 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17:29 | 20 |
| 14 | Kokand 1912 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | 19 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 20:32 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 19 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8:34 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
