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Din. Samarkand vs Qizilqum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Dinamo Samarkand Stadium, Samarkand
Din. Samarkand Logo

Din. Samarkand

1 - 0
FT
Qizilqum Logo

Qizilqum

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Nematkhonov N. In: Shukurillaev S.
Out: Nematkhonov N.
36'
Jumaboev J.
37'
Bozorov B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Din. Samarkand and Qizilqum finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Samarkand.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Din. Samarkand
20%
Draws
42%
Qizilqum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qizilqum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Qizilqum have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Din. Samarkand are scoring more at 1.38.
  • Model gives Din. Samarkand a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Din. Samarkand here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 20%
Qizilqum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Samarkand Qizilqum
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Qizilqum
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Oct 24, 2025 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
2:0
May 25, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Qizilqum
3:2
Nov 2, 2024 Super League
Qizilqum vs Din. Samarkand
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Samarkand Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaydarov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Qizilqum Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Samarkand 42 / 100
Qizilqum 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Samarkand Qizilqum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Samarkand found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Qizilqum conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Din. Samarkand has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Din. Samarkand VS Qizilqum
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Samarkand

(Home)
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2
Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1
Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1
Din. Samarkand
Page 1 of 6

Qizilqum

(Away)
21 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
1 : 3
Qizilqum
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0
Qizilqum
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2
Buxoro
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0
Nasaf Qarshi
18 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 1
Qizilqum
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftchi Fargona 23 16 4 3 52:19 52
2 Pakhtakor 22 14 7 1 39:20 49
3 Navbahor Namangan 22 13 5 4 39:21 44
4 Lok. Tashkent 22 10 5 7 36:28 35
5 OKMK 22 10 5 7 31:29 35
6 Nasaf Qarshi 22 9 7 6 33:21 34
7 Buxoro 22 10 4 8 32:29 34
8 Din. Samarkand 22 8 6 8 33:34 30
9 Andijan 22 9 3 10 27:28 30
10 Qizilqum 22 9 2 11 23:30 29
11 Sogdiana 22 8 4 10 38:43 28
12 Termez Surkhon 22 7 5 10 19:28 26
13 Bunyodkor 22 7 1 14 22:36 22
14 Xorazm Urganch 23 5 7 11 20:34 22
15 Kokand 1912 22 4 8 10 19:30 20
16 Mashal Muborak 22 1 1 20 11:44 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)