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Din. Zagreb vs Bayer Leverkusen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Thu, Nov 26, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Din. Zagreb host Bayer Leverkusen in the Europa League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bayer Leverkusen have shipped 1.22 goals a game lately, while Din. Zagreb have conceded 1.07 and scored 2.5. Head-to-head, Din. Zagreb have won 0 to Bayer Leverkusen's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 19, 2014, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.00, favoring Bayer Leverkusen. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Din. Zagreb
15%
Draws
42%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb haven't matched Bayer Leverkusen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Din. Zagreb's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Bayer Leverkusen
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 17 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.5 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 19, 2014 Winter Cup
Bayer Leverkusen vs Din. Zagreb
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 38 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Bayer Leverkusen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Bayer Leverkusen let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Din. Zagreb went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Bayer Leverkusen
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
31 Oct
Rudes
1 : 0
Din. Zagreb
27 Oct
Din. Zagreb
2 : 1
Rijeka
22 Oct
Din. Zagreb
2 : 4
Nijmegen
18 Oct
Slaven Belupo
1 : 5
Din. Zagreb
15 Oct
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
Anderlecht
Page 1 of 6

Bayer Leverkusen

(Away)
31 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 4
VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
5 : 2
Nurnberg
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
18 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1
Freiburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Benfica 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
3 Bayer Leverkusen 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
4 Bournemouth 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
5 Ferencvaros 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
6 Royale Union SG 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
7 Juventus 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
8 Besiktas 3 2 1 0 9:5 7
9 Sunderland 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
10 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
11 Omonia 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
12 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
13 Lyon 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
14 Real Sociedad 3 1 1 1 8:3 4
15 Crystal Palace 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
16 Sparta Prague 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
17 Levski Sofia 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
18 Din. Zagreb 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
19 Sturm Graz 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
20 Nijmegen 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
21 Salzburg 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
22 Anderlecht 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
23 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
24 AC Milan 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
25 Celta Vigo 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
26 OFI Crete 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
27 Jagiellonia 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
28 Torreense 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
29 Celje 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
30 H. Beer Sheva 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
31 Lillestrom 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
32 Lech Poznan 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
33 Plzen 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
34 Marseille 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
35 Celtic 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
36 Ararat-Armenia 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)