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Din. Zagreb vs Fenerbahce

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Stadion Maksimir
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Beljo D.
25' Event
Szymanski S.
39'
Tedesco D.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Din. Zagreb and Fenerbahce finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Din. Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Din. Zagreb
39%
Draws
31%
Fenerbahce
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Din. Zagreb come out ahead of Fenerbahce on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Din. Zagreb have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 16%
Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Fenerbahce
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 22 18
Draws 5 6
Losses 2 5
Goals Scored 2.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2025 Europa League
Din. Zagreb vs Fenerbahce
3:1
Nov 29, 2018 Europa League
Fenerbahce vs Din. Zagreb
0:0
Sep 20, 2018 Europa League
Din. Zagreb vs Fenerbahce
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bakrar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Fenerbahce Compare

Top Goalscorer Szymanski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 30 / 100
Fenerbahce 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Fenerbahce

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Din. Zagreb has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fenerbahce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Fenerbahce
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221