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Din. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Kucis S. In: Frigan J.
Out: Kucis S.
18'
Mijic P.
25'
Sub
Peric S. In: Braut F.
Out: Peric S.

AI Match Summary

Din. Zagreb in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Din. Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Din. Zagreb
30%
Draws
31%
HNK Gorica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Din. Zagreb lately — more wins on the board than HNK Gorica.
  • Din. Zagreb are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular HNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Din. Zagreb have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
HNK Gorica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb HNK Gorica
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 2 14
Goals Scored 2.84 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
1:0
May 2, 2026 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Din. Zagreb
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Croatian Cup
HNK Gorica vs Din. Zagreb
3:6
Mar 1, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs HNK Gorica
4:2
Dec 1, 2025 HNL
HNK Gorica vs Din. Zagreb
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

HNK Gorica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 49 / 100
HNK Gorica 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb HNK Gorica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

HNK Gorica let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Din. Zagreb went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS HNK Gorica
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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HNK Gorica

(Away)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Istra 1961
0 : 1
HNK Gorica
14 Sept
HNK Gorica
2 : 2
Varazdin
09 Sept
Uskok Klis
1 : 3
HNK Gorica
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)