Sport Picks
Din. Zagreb vs Kurilovec
Croatia
Croatian Cup 2025/2026 Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb 
Match Events
24'
24'
Bakrar M.
Assist: Tabinas P.
25'
25'
Sub
Lisica M. In: Horvat P.
Out: Lisica M.
30'
30'
Horvat P.
Assist: Tabinas P.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Din. Zagreb advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kurilovec
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Kurilovec taking it.
- Din. Zagreb have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Din. Zagreb, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Kurilovec Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Din. Zagreb | Kurilovec |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 2 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.62 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Croatian Cup
Din. Zagreb vs Kurilovec
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Din. Zagreb Compare
Top Goalscorer Bakrar M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Horvat P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75
Kurilovec Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Din. Zagreb 24 / 100
Kurilovec 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Din. Zagreb Kurilovec
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kurilovec Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Din. Zagreb scored in 90% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Kurilovec conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Din. Zagreb remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Din. Zagreb VS Kurilovec
3 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Din. Zagreb
(Home) 16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0 Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2 Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4 Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0 HNK Gorica
29 Aug
Istra 1961
2 : 2 Din. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0 HNK Gorica
22 Aug
Din. Zagreb
3 : 1 Varazdin
18 Aug
Din. Zagreb
2 : 2 Viking
14 Aug
Din. Zagreb
4 : 0 Rudes
04 Aug
Din. Zagreb
5 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris
Page 1 of 3
Kurilovec
(Away) 01 Aug
Kurilovec
0 : 4 Bjelovar
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0 Kurilovec
05 Nov
Kurilovec
2 : 1 Istra 1961
10 Sept
Kurilovec
5 : 0 Oriolik
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12 Kurilovec
Page 1 of 6
04 Mar
Din. Zagreb
2 : 0 Kurilovec
27 Aug
Zemunik
2 : 12 Kurilovec
03 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0 Kurilovec
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0 Kurilovec
14 May
Ponikve
1 : 0 Kurilovec
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Radnik Krizevci 5
Drnis 0
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Maksimir 3
Jadran Porec 2
TBD -
Rijeka -
Nehaj Senj 1
Vukovar 1991 2
TBD -
Cibalia -
NK Koprivnica 1
Pitomaca 0
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Slavonija Pozega 1
Marsonia 0
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
NK Radnicki Dalj 0
Granicar Kotoriba 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Jedinstvo (DM) 0
Dugo Selo 3
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Sibenik -
Spansko 0
Gaj Mace 1
TBD -
Varazdin -
Uljanik Pula 2
Bjelovar 0
TBD -
Osijek -
Belica 1
Solin 4
TBD -
Rudes -
NK Libertas Novska 2
Opatija 1
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
Bednja Beletinec 1
Karlovac 4
TBD -
Belisce -
Bedem Ivankovo 3
NK Dinamo Predavac 5
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Zemunik 2
Kurilovec 12
TBD -
Oriolik -
Neretva 6
Zadrugar Oprisavci 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
1/16-finals
Radnik Krizevci 0
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Maksimir 0
Rijeka 4
Vukovar 1991 0
Cibalia 1
NK Koprivnica 1
Hajduk Split 4
Slavonija Pozega 0
Bijelo Brdo 2
Granicar Kotoriba 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Dugo Selo 0
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 4
Sibenik 1
Gaj Mace 1
Varazdin 7
Uljanik Pula 0
Osijek 4
Solin 1
Rudes 2
NK Libertas Novska 1
HNK Gorica 3
Karlovac 5
Belisce 0
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Din. Zagreb 6
Kurilovec 5
Oriolik 0
Neretva 1
Istra 1961 2
1/8-finals
Mladost Zdralovi 1
Rijeka 4
Cibalia 0
Hajduk Split 1
Bijelo Brdo 0
Slaven Belupo 3
Lok. Zagreb 4
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 0
Varazdin 2
Osijek 1
Rudes 0
HNK Gorica 6
Karlovac 0
Din. Zagreb 7
Kurilovec 2
Istra 1961 1
Quarter-finals
Rijeka 3
Hajduk Split 2
Slaven Belupo 2
Lok. Zagreb 1
Varazdin 1
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 2
Kurilovec 0
Semi-finals
Rijeka 2
Slaven Belupo 0
HNK Gorica 3
Din. Zagreb 6
Final
Rijeka 0
Din. Zagreb 2
