Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Din. Zagreb vs Lok. Zagreb

Croatia Croatia

HNL Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Galesic N.
Assist: Radeljic S.
12'
Kovacevic M.
26' Event
Beljo D.
Assist: Tabinas P.

AI Match Summary

Din. Zagreb in this HNL matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Din. Zagreb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Din. Zagreb
20%
Draws
23%
Lok. Zagreb
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Din. Zagreb lately — more wins on the board than Lok. Zagreb.
  • Model gives Din. Zagreb a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 68%
Lok. Zagreb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 21 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 2.73 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Lok. Zagreb
3:2
May 23, 2026 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Lok. Zagreb
0:0
Mar 21, 2026 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Din. Zagreb
0:5
Dec 20, 2025 HNL
Din. Zagreb vs Lok. Zagreb
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 HNL
Lok. Zagreb vs Din. Zagreb
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Din. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Beljo D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Galesic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Lok. Zagreb Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belcar L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 95 / 100
Lok. Zagreb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Lok. Zagreb

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Din. Zagreb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Din. Zagreb scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Lok. Zagreb has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Din. Zagreb remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Lok. Zagreb
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
12 Sept
Osijek
4 : 2
Din. Zagreb
09 Sept
Bedem Ivankovo
0 : 4
Din. Zagreb
05 Sept
Din. Zagreb
1 : 0
HNK Gorica
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Lok. Zagreb

(Away)
20 Sept
Din. Zagreb
3 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
12 Sept
Lok. Zagreb
1 : 1
Rijeka
09 Sept
Tomislav DA
0 : 2
Lok. Zagreb
06 Sept
Slaven Belupo
2 : 1
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Hajduk Split
2 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Din. Zagreb 7 5 1 1 17:9 16
2 Hajduk Split 8 5 1 2 16:8 16
3 Osijek 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
4 Varazdin 8 4 3 1 13:7 15
5 Rijeka 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
6 Istra 1961 8 2 3 3 14:13 9
7 Lok. Zagreb 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
8 Slaven Belupo 8 2 1 5 7:16 7
9 HNK Gorica 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
10 Rudes 8 1 1 6 10:24 4
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)