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Din. Zagreb vs Thun

Europe Europe

Champions League Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb
Tue, Jul 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Champions League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Thun have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Din. Zagreb have conceded 0.38 and scored 3. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.69 xG vs 1.00) point toward Din. Zagreb. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Din. Zagreb
6%
Draws
4%
Thun
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Din. Zagreb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Din. Zagreb carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Din. Zagreb are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Din. Zagreb have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Din. Zagreb Clean Sheet 20%
Thun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Din. Zagreb Thun
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 22 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 3 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.38 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Din. Zagreb 85 / 100
Thun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Din. Zagreb Thun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Din. Zagreb scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Thun's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

Solid form: Din. Zagreb remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Thun's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Din. Zagreb VS Thun
3 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Din. Zagreb

(Home)
14 Jul
Din. Zagreb
0 : 0
LNZ Cherkasy
08 Jul
Din. Zagreb
4 : 2
Koper
02 Jul
Grosuplje
0 : 9
Din. Zagreb
26 Jun
Radomlje
0 : 3
Din. Zagreb
23 May
Din. Zagreb
0 : 0
Lok. Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Thun

(Away)
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 2
Mannheim
11 Jul
Thun
1 : 1
Elversberg
04 Jul
Thun
6 : 2
Xamax
17 May
St. Gallen
1 : 1
Thun
14 May
Thun
3 : 8
Young Boys
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Thun-
TBD-
TBD-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik4
Bissen2
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Drita3
Mjallby-
TBD-
Lincoln Red Imps4
Inter Escaldes2
Flora4
Iberia 19995
TBD-
Slovan Bratislava-
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia5
ML Vitebsk1
Univ. Craiova5
Omonia-
TBD-
Kairat Almaty4
Sutjeska1
Aarhus-
TBD-
TBD-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku4
TNS1
Vardar3
KuPS4
Ararat-Armenia4
Riga FC3
Floriana3
Shamrock Rovers5
Petrocub Hincesti2
KF Egnatia7
TBD-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Gyor2
TBD-
H. Beer Sheva-
Tre Fiori1
Larne3
TBD-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
TBD-
TBD-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
TBD-
TBD-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
Thun-
Din. Zagreb-
Klaksvik-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Mjallby-
Lincoln Red Imps-
Iberia 1999-
Slovan Bratislava-
Levski Sofia-
Univ. Craiova-
Omonia-
Kairat Almaty-
Aarhus-
Lech Poznan-
Sabah Baku-
KuPS-
Ararat-Armenia-
Shamrock Rovers-
KF Egnatia-
Celje-
Vikingur Reykjavik-
H. Beer Sheva-
Larne-
Crvena zvezda-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
TBD-
TBD-
Bodo/Glimt-
Fenerbahce-
Gornik Zabrze-
Sturm Graz-
Hearts-
Sparta Prague-
TBD-
TBD-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Olympiacos Piraeus-
Nijmegen-
Royale Union SG-
Bodo/Glimt-
TBD-
TBD-
Sparta Prague-
Lyon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-