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Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Batumi Arena, Batumi
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Batumi host Samgurali in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Samgurali have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Dinamo Batumi have conceded 1.42 and scored 1.77. Past meetings favor Dinamo Batumi slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (2.56 xG vs 1.13) point toward Dinamo Batumi. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dinamo Batumi
30%
Draws
6%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinamo Batumi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dinamo Batumi come out ahead of Samgurali on wins alone.
  • Dinamo Batumi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 20%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Batumi Samgurali
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.77 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
0:4
May 10, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali
3:1
Mar 12, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Batumi
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Samgurali
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Batumi 85 / 100
Samgurali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Batumi Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Batumi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Dinamo Batumi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dinamo Batumi scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Batumi VS Samgurali
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Batumi

(Home)
02 Oct
Noah
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
20 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 2
Torpedo Kutaisi
13 Sept
Dila Gori
2 : 2
Dinamo Batumi
09 Sept
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
04 Sept
FC Rustavi
0 : 1
Dinamo Batumi
Page 1 of 7

Samgurali

(Away)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)