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Dinamo Riga vs FK Karosta

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1. Liga 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Riga play FK Karosta in the 1. Liga 2022. FK Karosta are favorites here. Recently, Dinamo Riga averaged 1.38 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. FK Karosta averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, Dinamo Riga won 1, FK Karosta won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 27, 2022 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Dinamo Riga and 2.31 for FK Karosta. This points to a FK Karosta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dinamo Riga
6%
Draws
90%
FK Karosta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Karosta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Karosta has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dinamo Riga.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for FK Karosta.
  • Cup tournament structure in 1. Liga 2022 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dinamo Riga Clean Sheet 10%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Riga FK Karosta
Matches Played 32 20
Wins 7 14
Draws 3 0
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 3.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2022 Nakotnes liga
Dinamo Riga vs FK Karosta
2:1
Nov 20, 2022 Nakotnes liga
FK Karosta vs Dinamo Riga
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Saveljevs G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gzibovskis N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

FK Karosta Compare

Top Goalscorer Skripko I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Riga 10 / 100
FK Karosta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Riga FK Karosta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Riga scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

FK Karosta let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Dinamo Riga went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

FK Karosta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Riga VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
FK Karosta5
Dinamo Riga4