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Dinamo Riga vs Marupe

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Adebayo A.
27' Event
Adebayo A.
44' Event
Korsaks K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-11, with Marupe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dinamo Riga
15%
Draws
85%
Marupe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marupe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Marupe's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Marupe arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marupe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Dinamo Riga Clean Sheet 18%
Marupe Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Riga Marupe
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.7 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2023 Latvian Cup
Dinamo Riga vs Marupe
0:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Korsaks K.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Adebayo A.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Riga 12 / 100
Marupe 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Riga Marupe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marupe let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 11.00 goals per match.

Marupe lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Riga scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marupe
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Riga

(Home)
18 May
Dinamo Riga
1 : 3
Iecava
12 Nov
Riga FC 2
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
04 Nov
Dinamo Riga
0 : 3
Rezekne
28 Oct
Beitar
3 : 0
Dinamo Riga
21 Oct
Dinamo Riga
0 : 3
JFK Ventspils
Page 1 of 6

Marupe

(Away)
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda -
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FK Alberts -
Iecava -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
Augsdaugavas -
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Betsafe -
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Saldus SS/Leevon -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance -
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Kadaga/Ostas 2
Namejs 1
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka -
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Marupe -
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Skanste -
DSVK Traktors -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
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Madona/BJSS -
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Lielupe 3
FK Varaklani 0
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sigulda 2
Sports United/Cesis 3
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Bebri -
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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Tukums 2000 -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK -
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Jekabpils SC -
Plavinas -
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FK Limbazi -
Ogre United -
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LSPA -
Riga United -
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RSU -
FK Union -
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Dobele Allegro 1
FK Ludza 0
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Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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RTU 0
JFC Viola 3
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JFK Daugava -
1/64-finals
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 5
FK Alberts 1
Iecava 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Augsdaugavas 1
Betsafe 2
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Saldus SS/Leevon -
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 4
Kadaga/Ostas 0
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Dinamo Riga -
Valka 0
Marupe 7
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Skanste -
DSVK Traktors 0
Upesciema Warriors 1
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FK Smiltene -
Beitar -
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Madona/BJSS 0
Lielupe 1
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 4
Bebri 1
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Grobina -
AFA Olaine -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Tukums 2000 -
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RFS -
Salaspils FK 1
Jekabpils SC 3
Plavinas 0
FK Limbazi 3
Ogre United 2
LSPA 1
Riga United 3
RSU 2
FK Union 4
Dobele Allegro 1
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Alberts JDFS -
Rezekne -
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JFC Viola 3
JFK Daugava 4
1/32-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Kekava-Auda 2
Rigas Futbola Skola 4
Betsafe 1
Saldus SS/Leevon 0
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Aliance 0
Dinamo Riga 2
Marupe 2
Skanste 0
Upesciema Warriors 0
FK Smiltene 2
Beitar 5
Lielupe 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Sports United/Cesis 0
Grobina 7
AFA Olaine 4
JFK Ventspils 0
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Jekabpils SC -
FK Limbazi -
Ogre United 4
Riga United 0
FK Union 0
Alberts JDFS 10
Rezekne 4
JFK Daugava 1
1/16-finals
BFC Daugavpils -
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FK Auda Riga -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
Betsafe 2
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Riga FC -
FK Metta -
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FK Liepaja -
Dinamo Riga 0
Marupe 11
FK Smiltene 1
Beitar 3
Valmiera -
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Super Nova -
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Grobina 2
AFA Olaine 3
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Tukums 2000 -
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Jekabpils SC 3
Ogre United 1
Alberts JDFS 8
Rezekne 0
1/8-finals
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Betsafe 0
Riga FC 5
FK Metta 2
FK Liepaja 3
Marupe 0
Beitar 1
Valmiera 2
Super Nova 0
AFA Olaine 1
Tukums 2000 3
Jelgava 0
RFS 3
Jekabpils SC 0
Alberts JDFS 6
Quarter-finals
FK Auda Riga 0
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 7
Beitar 0
Valmiera 0
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 4
Alberts JDFS 1
Semi-finals
Riga FC 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 1
RFS 3
Final
Riga FC 2
RFS 1