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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi play Dinamo Batumi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dinamo Tbilisi averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Dinamo Batumi averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. In past meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 2, Dinamo Batumi won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 23, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.69 for Dinamo Batumi. This points to a Dinamo Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dinamo Tbilisi
35%
Draws
28%
Dinamo Batumi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo Batumi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 13%
Dinamo Batumi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Batumi
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.45 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi
2:1
May 2, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:2
Apr 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Dinamo Batumi
1:1
Aug 4, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Batumi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Do Couto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Dinamo Batumi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mara U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 36 / 100
Dinamo Batumi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Batumi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dinamo Tbilisi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dinamo Tbilisi attacking → ← attacking Dinamo Batumi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Dinamo Batumi let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dinamo Tbilisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo Batumi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 33
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411