Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Osei B.
32'
Kharebashvili S.
37'
Leo Santos

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi host FC Rustavi in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dinamo Tbilisi have averaged 2.38 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against FC Rustavi's 1.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Dinamo Tbilisi have won 2 to FC Rustavi's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 11, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.19) point toward Dinamo Tbilisi. Dinamo Tbilisi in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Dinamo Tbilisi
22%
Draws
18%
FC Rustavi
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Rustavi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Dinamo Tbilisi.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Dinamo Tbilisi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 68%
FC Rustavi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi FC Rustavi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:3
Mar 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi
0:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:1
Nov 9, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Rustavi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
0:2
Aug 25, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 68 / 100
FC Rustavi 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi FC Rustavi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

FC Rustavi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Dinamo Tbilisi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Rustavi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tbilisi VS FC Rustavi
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411