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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi play Meshakhte Tkibuli in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dinamo Tbilisi averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Meshakhte Tkibuli averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 2, Meshakhte Tkibuli won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.00 for Meshakhte Tkibuli. This points to a Dinamo Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Dinamo Tbilisi
35%
Draws
24%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi picked up more points recently compared to Meshakhte Tkibuli.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 23%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Meshakhte Tkibuli
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.45 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:6
Apr 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 Club Friendly
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Donkor N. K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Meshakhte Tkibuli Compare

Top Goalscorer Patsatsia T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 42 / 100
Meshakhte Tkibuli 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi Meshakhte Tkibuli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dinamo Tbilisi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dinamo Tbilisi attacking → ← attacking Meshakhte Tkibuli

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Meshakhte Tkibuli let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dinamo Tbilisi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Meshakhte Tkibuli lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 28
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411