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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Navbahor Namangan

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi play Navbahor Namangan in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dinamo Tbilisi averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1 conceded. Navbahor Namangan averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Dinamo Tbilisi won 0, Navbahor Namangan won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 16, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 0.75 for Navbahor Namangan. This points to a Dinamo Tbilisi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dinamo Tbilisi
39%
Draws
31%
Navbahor Namangan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Navbahor Namangan.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 20%
Navbahor Namangan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Navbahor Namangan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Navbahor Namangan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Navbahor Namangan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kati K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 31 / 100
Navbahor Namangan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi Navbahor Namangan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Navbahor Namangan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dinamo Tbilisi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Navbahor Namangan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tbilisi VS Navbahor Namangan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%