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Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Dinamo Tbilisi Logo

Dinamo Tbilisi

5 - 3
FT
Samgurali Logo

Samgurali

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Wellissol
Assist: Berelidze T.
11' Event
Ramos R.
Assist: Vatsadze M.
14'
Wellissol
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dinamo Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dinamo Tbilisi
30%
Draws
6%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dinamo Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Samgurali.
  • Model gives Dinamo Tbilisi a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 68%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tbilisi Samgurali
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.76 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:3
Jun 18, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
5:3
Apr 25, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalandadze A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Wellissol
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tbilisi 95 / 100
Samgurali 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tbilisi Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Dinamo Tbilisi has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dinamo Tbilisi scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tbilisi VS Samgurali
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Home)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

Samgurali

(Away)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)