Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tirana host AF Elbasani in the Abissnet Superiore. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dinamo Tirana have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against AF Elbasani's 1.25 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor AF Elbasani slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.44) back Dinamo Tirana to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Dinamo Tirana
30%
Draws
34%
AF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinamo Tirana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Dinamo Tirana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dinamo Tirana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Dinamo Tirana Clean Sheet 16%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinamo Tirana AF Elbasani
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 14 13
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani
4:1
Jan 25, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Dinamo Tirana vs AF Elbasani
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Dinamo Tirana
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinamo Tirana 36 / 100
AF Elbasani 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinamo Tirana AF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dinamo Tirana scored in 71% of their last 34 outings.

AF Elbasani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Dinamo Tirana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dinamo Tirana VS AF Elbasani
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinamo Tirana

(Home)
23 Jul
Aluminij
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
16 Jul
FC Astana
1 : 4
Dinamo Tirana
09 Jul
Dinamo Tirana
0 : 1
FC Astana
01 Jul
Struga
1 : 1
Dinamo Tirana
27 Jun
Struga
2 : 3
Dinamo Tirana
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AF Elbasani

(Away)
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0
AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
Petrovac
31 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2
AF Elbasani
24 May
AF Elbasani
3 : 0
Dinamo Tirana
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Partizani00000:00
2Vllaznia00000:00
3KF Tirana00000:00
4Dinamo Tirana00000:00
5Teuta00000:00
6Skenderbeu Korca00000:00
7Laci00000:00
8KF Egnatia00000:00
9Vora00000:00
10AF Elbasani00000:00
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Championship Group)
Relegation - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation Group)