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Dinan vs Bayonne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group B Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan
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Match Events

68' Event
Fortunato M.
90' Event
Andrieu G.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Dinan and Bayonne finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bayonne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dinan
35%
Draws
35%
Bayonne
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayonne come out ahead of Dinan on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bayonne have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dinan Clean Sheet 20%
Bayonne Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinan Bayonne
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Dinan vs Bayonne
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Bayonne vs Dinan
2:1
Nov 1, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Dinan vs Bayonne
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bayonne Compare

Top Goalscorer Fortunato M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrieu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinan 32 / 100
Bayonne 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinan Bayonne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Dinan scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Dinan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bayonne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dinan VS Bayonne
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinan

(Home)
31 Oct
Pontivy
2 : 2
Dinan
17 Oct
Dinan
0 : 2
Bayonne
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
Page 1 of 6

Bayonne

(Away)
30 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 3
Avranches
17 Oct
Dinan
0 : 2
Bayonne
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
18 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 2
Bayonne
11 Sept
Bayonne
2 : 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)