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Dinan vs Chauray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 1 - Group B Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Tutu G.
70' Event
Lefebvre V.
80' Event
Noumbissi R.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Dinan and Chauray finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dinan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Dinan
30%
Draws
6%
Chauray
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dinan come out ahead of Chauray on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dinan a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Dinan have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dinan Clean Sheet 20%
Chauray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinan Chauray
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Dinan vs Chauray
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Chauray vs Dinan
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Dinan vs Chauray
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutu G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lefebvre V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Chauray Compare

Top Goalscorer Noumbissi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinan 85 / 100
Chauray 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinan Chauray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dinan found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Dinan remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Chauray conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dinan VS Chauray
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinan

(Home)
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
05 Sept
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 1
Dinan
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
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Chauray

(Away)
02 Oct
Chauray
0 : 2
Avranches
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Angouleme CFC
2 : 0
Chauray
29 Aug
Chauray
0 : 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
2 Bayonne 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
3 Granville 6 3 2 1 9:8 11
4 Avranches 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
5 Dinan 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
6 Saint-Malo 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
7 Tarbes 6 2 3 1 3:2 9
8 Lorient II 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
9 Le Poire Sur Vie 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Stade Briochin 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
11 Les Herbiers 6 2 1 3 5:7 7
12 St. Colomban Locmine 6 1 2 3 3:5 5
13 Saumur Olympique 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
14 Pontivy 6 0 3 3 5:10 3
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 6 0 3 3 3:10 3
16 Chauray 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)