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Dinan vs Les Herbiers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

National 1 - Group B Stade du Clos Gastel, Dinan
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Le Gouellec N.
60' Event
Le Gouellec N.

AI Match Summary

The National 1 - Group B game between Dinan and Les Herbiers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dinan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dinan
35%
Draws
37%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dinan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular National 1 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dinan Clean Sheet 20%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dinan Les Herbiers
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 National 1 - Group B
Dinan vs Les Herbiers
2:0
Apr 4, 2026 National 1 - Group A
Dinan vs Les Herbiers
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Les Herbiers vs Dinan
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Les Herbiers vs Dinan
5:1
Dec 7, 2024 National 1 - Group B
Dinan vs Les Herbiers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dinan Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Gouellec N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Les Herbiers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dinan 32 / 100
Les Herbiers 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dinan Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Dinan scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Les Herbiers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Dinan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dinan VS Les Herbiers
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dinan

(Home)
31 Oct
Pontivy
2 : 2
Dinan
17 Oct
Dinan
0 : 2
Bayonne
03 Oct
Tarbes
0 : 0
Dinan
19 Sept
Dinan
2 : 1
Chauray
12 Sept
Avranches
0 : 0
Dinan
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Les Herbiers

(Away)
30 Oct
Le Poire Sur Vie
1 : 1
Les Herbiers
17 Oct
Les Herbiers
0 : 0
Pontivy
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Angouleme CFC 8 6 2 0 13:5 20
2 Avranches 8 5 2 1 13:3 17
3 Bayonne 8 5 1 2 11:8 16
4 Lorient II 8 4 1 3 13:7 13
5 Granville 8 3 3 2 10:10 12
6 Dinan 8 3 3 2 7:7 12
7 Tarbes 8 3 3 2 5:5 12
8 Saint-Malo 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
9 St. Colomban Locmine 8 3 2 3 7:6 11
10 Stade Briochin 8 2 4 2 9:8 10
11 Le Poire Sur Vie 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
12 Les Herbiers 8 2 3 3 6:8 9
13 Saumur Olympique 8 2 1 5 6:12 7
14 Pontivy 8 0 5 3 7:12 5
15 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 8 0 5 3 5:12 5
16 Chauray 8 0 1 7 5:16 1
Promotion - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)