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Diriangen vs Esteli

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Moncada J.
46'
Lopez M.

AI Match Summary

Diriangen in this Liga Primera 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Diriangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Diriangen
28%
Draws
50%
Esteli
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Esteli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Diriangen lately — more wins on the board than Esteli.
  • Model gives Esteli a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 16%
Esteli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diriangen Esteli
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 19 18
Draws 7 8
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:2
May 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Esteli
1:0
Feb 12, 2026 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Liga Primera
Esteli vs Diriangen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Moncada J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Esteli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diriangen 23 / 100
Esteli 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diriangen Esteli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diriangen scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Esteli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Diriangen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diriangen VS Esteli
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diriangen

(Home)
18 Jul
Diriangen
1 : 1
San Marcos
12 Jul
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Diriangen
05 Jul
Diriangen
1 : 2
Sport Sebaco
17 May
Diriangen
1 : 2
Esteli
10 May
Esteli
1 : 1
Diriangen
Page 1 of 7

Esteli

(Away)
18 Jul
Esteli
1 : 1
UNAN-Managua
11 Jul
Esteli
2 : 0
Xilotepelt
04 Jul
Xilotepelt
0 : 1
Esteli
17 May
Diriangen
1 : 2
Esteli
10 May
Esteli
1 : 1
Diriangen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Clausura - Winners)