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Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco Prediction & H2H Stats

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Copa Primera Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago, Managua
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Zapata J.
47' Event
Ordonez B.
76' Event
Palacios W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Diriangen
20%
Draws
6%
Sport Sebaco
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Sport Sebaco haven't matched Diriangen's recent run of results.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Diriangen taking it.
  • Diriangen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sport Sebaco, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 19%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diriangen Sport Sebaco
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:1
Jul 12, 2026 Copa Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
1:1
Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diriangen 85 / 100
Sport Sebaco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diriangen Sport Sebaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diriangen's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Diriangen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Sport Sebaco let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Diriangen VS Sport Sebaco
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Diriangen

(Home)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
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Sport Sebaco

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
06 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 3
UNAN-Managua
02 Sept
Sport Sebaco
1 : 1
Walter Ferreti
30 Aug
Sport Sebaco
0 : 5
Esteli
22 Aug
Managua FC
6 : 1
Sport Sebaco
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Diriangen 2
Sport Sebaco 3
Matagalpa 5
Jalapa 4
Xilotepelt 0
Esteli 3
Rancho Santana 2
Managua FC 5
Semi-finals
Sport Sebaco -
Matagalpa -
Esteli -
Managua FC -
Final
TBD -
TBD -