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Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Copa Primera Estadio Miguel Chocorron Buitrago
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Zapata J.
47' Event
Ordonez B.
76' Event
Palacios W.

AI Match Summary

Sport Sebaco in this Copa Primera matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sport Sebaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Diriangen
40%
Draws
29%
Sport Sebaco
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Sport Sebaco haven't matched Diriangen's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 16%
Sport Sebaco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diriangen Sport Sebaco
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 2.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:2
Feb 16, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Sport Sebaco
5:0
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Primera
Sport Sebaco vs Diriangen
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapata J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sport Sebaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ordonez B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diriangen 31 / 100
Sport Sebaco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diriangen Sport Sebaco

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diriangen found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Sport Sebaco let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Diriangen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Diriangen VS Sport Sebaco
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Xilotepelt0
Esteli3
Diriangen2
Sport Sebaco3
Matagalpa3
Jalapa1
Rancho Santana2
Managua FC5
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-