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Discoveries vs Paynesville

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Discoveries and Paynesville finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Discoveries
30%
Draws
39%
Paynesville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paynesville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Paynesville carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Discoveries are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Discoveries Clean Sheet 20%
Paynesville Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Discoveries Paynesville
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Discoveries
1:1
Dec 12, 2025 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Paynesville
2:2
Jan 5, 2025 LFA First Division
Paynesville vs Discoveries
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 LFA First Division
Discoveries vs Paynesville
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Discoveries 40 / 100
Paynesville 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Discoveries Paynesville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Discoveries Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paynesville let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Discoveries scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Discoveries remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Discoveries VS Paynesville
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Discoveries

(Home)
15 Aug
Discoveries
1 : 4
BEA Mountain
24 May
Discoveries
1 : 2
BEA Mountain
18 May
Discoveries
1 : 0
Liberia Registry
05 May
Wologizi
0 : 0
Discoveries
29 Apr
Discoveries
0 : 1
Watanga
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Paynesville

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
09 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
FC Fassell
29 Apr
Paynesville
4 : 2
Wologizi
12 Apr
Liberia Registry
1 : 1
Paynesville
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)