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Diter Zafra vs Arroyo

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Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2015/2016 game between Diter Zafra and Arroyo finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arroyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Diter Zafra
15%
Draws
85%
Arroyo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arroyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Arroyo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Diter Zafra Clean Sheet 20%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diter Zafra Arroyo
Matches Played 33 42
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 10
Losses 24 21
Goals Scored 0.88 1.05
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Arroyo
1:0
Sep 25, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Diter Zafra
1:2
May 15, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Diter Zafra
5:0
Jan 3, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Diter Zafra vs Arroyo
0:4
Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs Diter Zafra
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diter Zafra 32 / 100
Arroyo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diter Zafra Arroyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Arroyo conceded in 74% of 42 recent games.

Arroyo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Diter Zafra scored in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arroyo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diter Zafra

(Home)
12 May
Extremadura UD B
6 : 2
Diter Zafra
07 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 3
Don Benito
30 Apr
Santa Amalia
2 : 1
Diter Zafra
23 Apr
Fuente de Cantos
4 : 0
Diter Zafra
13 Apr
Diter Zafra
3 : 4
UP Plasencia
Page 1 of 7

Arroyo

(Away)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Extremadura UD 38 27 9 2 106:25 90
2 CD Badajoz 38 26 9 3 90:25 87
3 Arroyo 38 25 9 4 78:23 84
4 Jerez CF 38 24 9 5 69:24 81
5 Don Benito 38 18 12 8 53:39 66
6 CD Azuaga 38 17 11 10 75:47 62
7 CD Calamonte 38 20 2 16 68:66 62
8 Pueblonuevo 38 16 11 11 49:41 59
9 CD Coria 38 14 10 14 56:44 52
10 Diter Zafra 38 13 8 17 45:65 47
11 Atletico San Jose Promesas 38 13 7 18 39:59 46
12 Moralo 38 11 12 15 53:58 45
13 Fuente de Cantos 38 12 9 17 46:66 45
14 CP Valdivia 38 12 7 19 34:63 43
15 Olivenza FC 38 8 10 20 38:61 34
16 CP Amanecer 38 7 13 18 35:66 34
17 Santa Amalia 38 7 10 21 35:70 31
18 Sanvicenteno 38 9 4 25 36:83 31
19 Valdelacalzada 38 7 8 23 29:71 29
20 Deportivo Pacense 38 6 6 26 42:80 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)