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Diyala vs Al Talaba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Rasheed S.
Assist: Amaar H.
84' Event
Khudair M.
Assist: Ahmed S.
87' Event
Ahmed S.
Assist: Anz M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Diyala and Al Talaba finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diyala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Diyala
35%
Draws
42%
Al Talaba
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Talaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Diyala come out ahead of Al Talaba on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Diyala Clean Sheet 21%
Al Talaba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyala Al Talaba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 14
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Talaba
2:1
May 1, 2026 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Talaba
0:1
Jan 27, 2026 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Diyala
1:1
Feb 14, 2025 Stars League
Al Talaba vs Diyala
0:0
Dec 12, 2024 Stars League
Diyala vs Al Talaba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diyala Compare

Top Goalscorer Khudair M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahmed S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Talaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Rasheed S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyala 32 / 100
Al Talaba 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyala Al Talaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Talaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diyala scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Talaba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Diyala has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Diyala VS Al Talaba
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyala

(Home)
05 Nov
Diyala
0 : 0
Al Minaa
31 Oct
Al Zawraa
2 : 0
Diyala
24 Oct
Newroz
0 : 0
Diyala
16 Oct
Diyala
2 : 0
Naft Missan
09 Oct
Al Naft
2 : 0
Diyala
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Al Talaba

(Away)
06 Nov
Al Talaba
2 : 2
Ghaz Al Shamal
30 Oct
Karbala
2 : 2
Al Talaba
22 Oct
Al Talaba
1 : 0
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
16 Oct
Al Kahraba
0 : 1
Al Talaba
08 Oct
Al Talaba
0 : 0
Al Shorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Karma 13 9 3 1 23:10 30
2 Newroz 13 7 5 1 18:5 26
3 Al Naft 13 7 4 2 15:7 25
4 Al Shorta 13 6 6 1 15:7 24
5 Al Golan 13 6 5 2 19:12 23
6 Al Zawraa 13 6 3 4 17:12 21
7 Erbil 13 5 5 3 16:9 20
8 Duhok 13 4 6 3 20:16 18
9 Al Minaa 13 4 5 4 12:13 17
10 Ghaz Al Shamal 13 3 7 3 9:10 16
11 Al Talaba 13 3 7 3 15:18 16
12 Diyala 13 3 5 5 15:18 14
13 Al Gharraf 13 3 5 5 9:15 14
14 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 13 2 7 4 14:14 13
15 Zakho 13 3 4 6 10:17 13
16 Al Karkh 13 3 3 7 16:21 12
17 Al Mosul 13 3 3 7 13:21 12
18 Al Kahraba 13 2 5 6 9:15 11
19 Naft Missan 13 1 6 6 8:19 9
20 Karbala 13 1 4 8 11:25 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)