Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Diyala host Naft Missan in the Stars League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Naft Missan have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Diyala have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Diyala have won 3 to Naft Missan's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 9, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.00, favoring Diyala. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Diyala have managed 1.07 goals a game lately — Naft Missan are scoring more at 1.17.
- Win probability leans Diyala's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Diyala have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Diyala | Naft Missan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Diyala found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Naft Missan let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Diyala stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Diyala
(Home)Naft Missan
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Al Zawraa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:3 | 18 |
| 3 | Erbil | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:3 | 17 |
| 4 | Newroz | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Shorta | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:4 | 15 |
| 6 | Al Naft | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Golan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Duhok | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 9 | Diyala | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Minaa | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Zakho | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4:5 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Karkh | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Al Talaba | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:12 | 5 |
| 20 | Karbala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | 5 |
