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Stadium Background

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Malatya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Nalbantoglu E.
Assist: Gurdal O.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 game between Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) and Malatya finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malatya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
15%
Draws
80%
Malatya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malatya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Malatya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Malatya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Clean Sheet 13%
Malatya Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Malatya
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.1 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Malatya
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Malatya vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Malatya
2:2
Mar 11, 2021 3. Lig Group 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) vs Malatya
3:3
Nov 1, 2020 3. Lig Group 1
Malatya vs Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Malatya Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalbantoglu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 10 / 100
Malatya 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) Malatya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Malatya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)'s goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Malatya conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) VS Malatya
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)

(Home)
11 Oct
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
2 : 3
Kirikkale FK
03 Oct
Agri 1970
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
27 Sept
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu
2 : 1
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
19 Sept
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
0 : 0
Erciyes 38
13 Sept
Mazidagi
3 : 0
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977)
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Malatya

(Away)
11 Oct
Malatya
3 : 0
Yeni Malatyaspor
07 Oct
Malatya
3 : 1
Gelecek Siirt
03 Oct
Yozgat
1 : 9
Malatya
27 Sept
Malatya
8 : 0
Adanaspor AS
19 Sept
Osmaniyespor
0 : 1
Malatya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malatya 6 6 0 0 25:2 18
2 Nigde 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
3 Karakopru 5 5 0 0 13:3 15
4 Mazidagi 5 4 1 0 12:3 13
5 Erciyes 38 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
6 Kirsehir SK 5 4 0 1 19:4 12
7 Bitlis 1916 5 4 0 1 14:3 12
8 Agri 1970 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 Adana Adaletgucu 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
10 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
11 Kirikkale FK 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
12 Silifke 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
13 Osmaniyespor 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
14 Karaman FK 5 1 0 4 4:14 3
15 Yozgat 5 1 0 4 3:18 3
16 Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 5 0 1 4 2:8 1
17 Adanaspor AS 5 0 0 5 3:20 0
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 6 0 0 6 0:18 -3
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)