Sport Picks
Match Events
85'
85'
Hablani N.
AI Match Summary
Djelma in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djelma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ES Jerba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Djelma lately — more wins on the board than ES Jerba.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on ES Jerba taking it.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Djelma Clean Sheet 20%
ES Jerba Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Djelma | ES Jerba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue 2
Djelma vs ES Jerba
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Djelma
2:1
Jun 13, 2024 Ligue 2
ES Jerba vs Djelma
1:2
Dec 28, 2023 Ligue 2
Djelma vs ES Jerba
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Djelma Compare
Top Goalscorer Hablani N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
ES Jerba Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Djelma 24 / 100
ES Jerba 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Djelma ES Jerba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ES Jerba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Djelma scored in 66% of their last 35 games.
ES Jerba let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.
Solid form: Djelma remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Djelma VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Djelma
(Home) 12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
02 May
Korba
1 : 0 Djelma
28 Apr
PS Sakiet Eddaier
4 : 1 Djelma
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
11 Apr
Kalaa
1 : 0 Djelma
Page 1 of 7
12 May
Djelma
0 : 0 Stade Gabesien
19 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 Kasserine
04 Apr
Djelma
1 : 1 Moknine
27 Feb
Djelma
1 : 1 Bouchamma
15 Feb
Djelma
1 : 0 Ariana
Page 1 of 4
ES Jerba
(Away) 23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
16 May
ES Jerba
1 : 1 Chebba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
05 May
ES Jerba
2 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Sfax Railways
3 : 2 ES Jerba
10 May
Sidi Bouzid
2 : 0 ES Jerba
26 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 2 ES Jerba
12 Apr
Djelma
1 : 0 ES Jerba
01 Mar
Espoir Rogba
1 : 1 ES Jerba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
