Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djerdap vs Jagodina

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Jagodina in this Srpska Liga - East matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jagodina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Djerdap
30%
Draws
43%
Jagodina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Jagodina have won more games recently than Djerdap.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Jagodina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jagodina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Djerdap Clean Sheet 10%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djerdap Jagodina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.41 3
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:1
Jun 12, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Djerdap
13:0
Nov 22, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Djerdap
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Jagodina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djerdap 10 / 100
Jagodina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djerdap Jagodina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jagodina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Djerdap scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Djerdap has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Jagodina conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Djerdap VS Jagodina
1.5 Goals Scored 4.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Djerdap

(Home)
13 Sept
Vlasina
1 : 0
Djerdap
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Sindjelic
0 : 2
Djerdap
22 Aug
Djerdap
3 : 0
Jedinstvo Krusevac
15 Aug
Rembas
1 : 1
Djerdap
Page 1 of 6

Jagodina

(Away)
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
23 Aug
Radnicki Svilajnac
0 : 2
Jagodina
15 Aug
Jagodina
3 : 3
Brzi Brod
Page 1 of 6