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Djerdap vs Trstenik

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Djerdap
15%
Draws
42%
Trstenik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djerdap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Djerdap have won more games recently than Trstenik.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Djerdap Clean Sheet 10%
Trstenik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djerdap Trstenik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Trstenik
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Djerdap
2:0
Mar 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Djerdap
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Trstenik
0:0
Mar 21, 2015 Srpska Liga - East
Djerdap vs Trstenik
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djerdap 29 / 100
Trstenik 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djerdap Trstenik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djerdap Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djerdap scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Trstenik has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Djerdap stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Djerdap VS Trstenik
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Djerdap

(Home)
26 Sept
Trayal Krusevac
0 : 1
Djerdap
19 Sept
Djerdap
5 : 0
Sloga Leskovac
13 Sept
Vlasina
1 : 0
Djerdap
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Sindjelic
0 : 2
Djerdap
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Trstenik

(Away)
14 Jun
Trstenik
9 : 1
Rudar 2016
07 Jun
Rembas
0 : 1
Trstenik
31 May
Brzi Brod
4 : 1
Trstenik
23 May
Trstenik
1 : 0
Morava Cuprija
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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