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Stadium Background

Djibouti vs Liberia

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sangare M.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Dorley O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Liberia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Djibouti
15%
Draws
49%
Liberia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Liberia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Liberia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Liberia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Liberia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Liberia, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Liberia have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 11%
Liberia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djibouti Liberia
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 5 7
Draws 3 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.82 1
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.65 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Liberia vs Djibouti
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Djibouti vs Liberia
0:2
Mar 29, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations
Liberia vs Djibouti
5:0
Mar 24, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations
Djibouti vs Liberia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djibouti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.5
Avg xA / game 0.33

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorley O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djibouti 10 / 100
Liberia 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djibouti Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liberia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liberia conceded in 84% of 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Liberia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Djibouti found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Djibouti VS Liberia
0.29 Goals Scored 0.75
2.86 Goals Conceded 1
57% Over 1.5 50%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djibouti

(Home)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
17 Nov
Morocco B
7 : 0
Djibouti
15 Nov
Morocco B
6 : 0
Djibouti
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Liberia

(Away)
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Somalia 2
Eswatini 5
Sao Tome and Principe 1
South Sudan 1
Chad 3
Mauritius 1
Djibouti 0
Liberia 2