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Stadium Background

Djibouti vs South Sudan

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Juba Stadium, Juba
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Kuol T.
Assist: Bangasi J.
49' Event
Bangasi J.
Assist: Majak K.
66' Event
Maker P.
Assist: Majak K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with South Sudan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Djibouti
6%
Draws
90%
South Sudan
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: South Sudan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Sudan come out ahead of Djibouti on wins alone.
  • Model gives South Sudan a 90% chance of winning this.
  • South Sudan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Sudan, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • South Sudan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%
South Sudan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djibouti South Sudan
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 4.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Djibouti
0:1
Mar 26, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations
Djibouti vs South Sudan
0:4
Mar 27, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Djibouti
1:0
Mar 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Djibouti vs South Sudan
2:4
Mar 28, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations
South Sudan vs Djibouti
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djibouti Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

South Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuol T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bangasi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djibouti 10 / 100
South Sudan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djibouti South Sudan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SSU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

South Sudan has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: South Sudan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Djibouti's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Djibouti VS South Sudan
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djibouti

(Home)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
17 Nov
Morocco B
7 : 0
Djibouti
15 Nov
Morocco B
6 : 0
Djibouti
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South Sudan

(Away)
29 Mar
South Sudan
0 : 1
Djibouti
26 Mar
Djibouti
0 : 4
South Sudan
25 Nov
Syria
2 : 0
South Sudan
13 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 0
Togo
10 Oct
South Sudan
0 : 5
Senegal
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Djibouti1
South Sudan4
Chad0
Burundi8
Somalia1
Mauritius0
Seychelles1
Lesotho2
Eritrea4
Eswatini1
Sao Tome and Principe0
Ethiopia4