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DJK Ammerthal vs Fortuna Regensburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DJK Ammerthal play Fortuna Regensburg in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, DJK Ammerthal averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Fortuna Regensburg averaged 1.91 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. In past meetings, DJK Ammerthal won 1, Fortuna Regensburg won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 21, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for DJK Ammerthal and 1.88 for Fortuna Regensburg. This points to a Fortuna Regensburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
DJK Ammerthal
33%
Draws
38%
Fortuna Regensburg
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • DJK Ammerthal picked up more points recently compared to Fortuna Regensburg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Over 3.5 Goals 42%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
DJK Ammerthal Clean Sheet 10%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DJK Ammerthal Fortuna Regensburg
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
DJK Ammerthal vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:1
Aug 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs DJK Ammerthal
4:0
Nov 5, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
DJK Ammerthal vs Fortuna Regensburg
2:2
Jul 23, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs DJK Ammerthal
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DJK Ammerthal Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogurtsov O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Fortuna Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziegler F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DJK Ammerthal 28 / 100
Fortuna Regensburg 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DJK Ammerthal Fortuna Regensburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortuna Regensburg or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +38%
4.76
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.2%
1.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

DJK Ammerthal attacking → ← attacking Fortuna Regensburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DJK Ammerthal scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Fortuna Regensburg let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

DJK Ammerthal went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Fortuna Regensburg lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 44
0.33 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vfb Eichstatt34235674:3374
2Eltersdorf342110356:2473
3Ingolstadt II34206870:4666
4ATSV Erlangen34188852:3662
5Cham341510960:4355
6Fortuna Regensburg341581184:5853
7Weiden341481247:4050
8TSV Kornburg341381358:5347
9Neudrossenfeld3412101249:5746
10Wurzburger FV3412101250:5846
11Bayern Hof3411101343:4043
12ASV Neumarkt341341739:4943
13Regensburg II3410111348:5141
14Abtswind3410101446:5140
15DJK Ammerthal34981743:5135
16Gebenbach348111552:7135
17Munchberg34552430:8320
18Karlburg34362530:8715