Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Djoliba vs USFAS Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Complex Sportif Heremakono, Bamako
Djoliba Logo

Djoliba

2 - 1
FT
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Djoliba in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djoliba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Djoliba
20%
Draws
40%
USFAS Bamako
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Djoliba lately — more wins on the board than USFAS Bamako.
  • Djoliba are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Djoliba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Djoliba Clean Sheet 68%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djoliba USFAS Bamako
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 24 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.71 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs USFAS Bamako
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Djoliba
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premiere Division
Djoliba vs USFAS Bamako
0:0
Dec 11, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Djoliba
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Djoliba
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djoliba 50 / 100
USFAS Bamako 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djoliba USFAS Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djoliba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Djoliba scored in 80% of their last 35 outings.

USFAS Bamako's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Djoliba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Djoliba VS USFAS Bamako
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djoliba

(Home)
12 Sept
Djoliba
2 : 2
Club Africain
05 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Djoliba
14 Jun
Korofina
1 : 3
Djoliba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Diarra
1 : 2
Djoliba
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USFAS Bamako

(Away)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)