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Djurgarden vs GAIS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Stensson D.
35' Event
Lien K.
Assist: Hegland B.
53'
Collander D.

AI Match Summary

Djurgarden in this Allsvenskan matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Djurgarden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Djurgarden
15%
Draws
39%
GAIS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Djurgarden have won more games recently than GAIS.
  • Model gives Djurgarden a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 68%
GAIS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden GAIS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs GAIS
2:0
Apr 6, 2026 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Djurgarden
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Djurgarden
3:2
Apr 21, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs GAIS
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Allsvenskan
GAIS vs Djurgarden
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Top Goalscorer Lien K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hegland B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

GAIS Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 95 / 100
GAIS 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden GAIS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 9:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Djurgarden stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

GAIS let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS GAIS
2.5 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
03 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
0 : 1
Djurgarden
20 Sept
Djurgarden
1 : 2
Elfsborg
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
10 Sept
Haninge
1 : 7
Djurgarden
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
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GAIS

(Away)
20 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 3
GAIS
14 Sept
Djurgarden
2 : 0
GAIS
05 Sept
GAIS
0 : 0
Hacken
31 Aug
GAIS
4 : 0
Brommapojkarna
27 Aug
Husqvarna
0 : 7
GAIS
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 23 10 5 8 34:36 35
7 IFK Goteborg 23 10 5 8 32:41 35
8 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
9 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)