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Djurgarden vs Malmo FF

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Johansson P.
35'
Sub
Fallenius O. In: Okkels J.
Out: Fallenius O.
45'
Sjostrand O.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan game between Djurgarden and Malmo FF finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Malmo FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Djurgarden
15%
Draws
39%
Malmo FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Djurgarden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Djurgarden come out ahead of Malmo FF on wins alone.
  • Model gives Djurgarden a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 20%
Malmo FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Djurgarden Malmo FF
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2026 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Djurgarden
0:3
Apr 17, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Malmo FF
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Djurgarden
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Malmo FF
0:1
Sep 1, 2024 Allsvenskan
Malmo FF vs Djurgarden
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Djurgarden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Malmo FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Haksabanovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Djurgarden 85 / 100
Malmo FF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Djurgarden Malmo FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Djurgarden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djurgarden's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Malmo FF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Djurgarden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Djurgarden VS Malmo FF
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Djurgarden

(Home)
07 Sept
Kalmar
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Sept
Mjallby
0 : 2
Djurgarden
31 Aug
Djurgarden
4 : 0
Mjallby
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
16 Aug
Djurgarden
1 : 3
AIK
Page 1 of 6

Malmo FF

(Away)
07 Sept
Malmo FF
0 : 0
AIK
31 Aug
Sirius
0 : 1
Malmo FF
27 Aug
Lindo FF
1 : 5
Malmo FF
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
16 Aug
GAIS
0 : 1
Malmo FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 20 14 3 3 48:27 45
2 Djurgarden 20 12 2 6 44:19 38
3 Hammarby 20 11 4 5 45:19 37
4 Hacken 20 8 8 4 33:29 32
5 AIK 19 9 5 5 28:27 32
6 Elfsborg 20 8 7 5 28:21 31
7 Malmo FF 20 9 3 8 33:30 30
8 Vasteras SK 20 8 5 7 28:34 29
9 GAIS 20 7 6 7 25:18 27
10 Brommapojkarna 20 7 6 7 29:32 27
11 IFK Goteborg 20 7 5 8 28:40 26
12 Mjallby 19 5 5 9 25:33 20
13 Kalmar 20 5 4 11 21:30 19
14 Degerfors 20 5 4 11 19:31 19
15 Orgryte 20 3 6 11 23:43 15
16 Halmstad 20 2 5 13 13:37 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)