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DMD vs Katsina Utd

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The NNL 2022/2023 game between DMD and Katsina Utd finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Katsina Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
DMD
15%
Draws
46%
Katsina Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Katsina Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and DMD come out ahead of Katsina Utd on wins alone.
  • Model gives DMD a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NNL 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
DMD Clean Sheet 20%
Katsina Utd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DMD Katsina Utd
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 12
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2023 NNL
DMD vs Katsina Utd
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DMD 36 / 100
Katsina Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DMD Katsina Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

DMD scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Katsina Utd conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

DMD went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Katsina Utd
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

DMD

(Home)
05 Jul
DMD
2 : 0
EFCC FC
03 Jul
Kano Pillars
2 : 0
DMD
02 Jul
DMD
1 : 2
Katsina Utd
10 Jun
DMD
1 : 0
Police Machine
10 May
Nasarawa United
3 : 2
DMD
Page 1 of 6

Katsina Utd

(Away)
30 Aug
Rangers International
1 : 1
Katsina Utd
24 May
Rivers United
3 : 0
Katsina Utd
10 May
Katsina Utd
4 : 1
Ikorodu City
04 May
Bendel
1 : 0
Katsina Utd
19 Apr
Katsina Utd
3 : 2
Bayelsa United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kano Pillars 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Katsina Utd 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 DMD 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 EFCC FC 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - NPFL 2023/2024 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heartland FC 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Sporting Lagos 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Abeokuta 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 One Rocket 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - NPFL 2023/2024 (Main)