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Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dnepr Mogilev play FC Minsk in the Vysshaya Liga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dnepr Mogilev averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. FC Minsk averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Dnepr Mogilev won 1, FC Minsk won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jan 24, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Dnepr Mogilev and 1.69 for FC Minsk. This points to a FC Minsk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dnepr Mogilev
31%
Draws
38%
FC Minsk
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: FC Minsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev picked up more points recently compared to FC Minsk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 13%
FC Minsk Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev FC Minsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
4:1
Sep 29, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:2
May 10, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs FC Minsk
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
3:2
Jul 28, 2023 Belarusian Cup
FC Minsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 31 / 100
FC Minsk 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev FC Minsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Minsk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dnepr Mogilev attacking → ← attacking FC Minsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

FC Minsk let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dnepr Mogilev went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FC Minsk lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 35
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Din. Minsk1393123:1230
2ML Vitebsk1384126:1128
3Isloch Minsk1374222:1025
4Zhodino1365223:1023
5FC Gomel1364319:1222
6Neman1362515:1320
7FC Minsk1354419:1619
8Dynamo Brest1353516:1218
9Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1346317:1818
10Slavia Mozyr1336411:1415
11Vitebsk1335512:1614
12FK Baranovici1333713:2512
13Dnepr Mogilev1325611:1911
14Belshina1331912:2510
15BATE131669:169
16Naftan131398:276