Sport Picks
Dnepr Mogilev vs ML Vitebsk
Belarus
Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak, Mogilev 
Match Events
4'
4'
Zabelin K.
7'
7'
Kontsevoy A.
Assist: Bosic R.
46'
46'
Sub
Grudko I. In: Cleonise D.
Out: Grudko I.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Vysshaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
35%
49%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ML Vitebsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to ML Vitebsk lately — more wins on the board than Dnepr Mogilev.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 16%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dnepr Mogilev | ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs ML Vitebsk
1:1
May 10, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
5:1
Feb 4, 2026 Club Friendly
ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
4:1
Oct 29, 2023 Pershaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs ML Vitebsk
2:1
Jun 25, 2023 Pershaya Liga
ML Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dnepr Mogilev Compare
Top Goalscorer Zabelin K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
ML Vitebsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Kontsevoy A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dnepr Mogilev 36 / 100
ML Vitebsk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dnepr Mogilev ML Vitebsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Dnepr Mogilev scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
ML Vitebsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.
Solid form: Dnepr Mogilev remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Dnepr Mogilev VS ML Vitebsk
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Dnepr Mogilev
(Home) 20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
14 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 Belshina
31 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
3 : 3 Naftan
10 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 2 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 4
ML Vitebsk
(Away) 18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0 Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1 Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3 ML Vitebsk
06 Aug
Borac Banja Luka
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
30 Jul
Sutjeska
1 : 2 ML Vitebsk
15 Jul
Univ. Craiova
1 : 0 ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isloch Minsk | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 45 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 21 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 42:17 | 44 |
| 3 | Din. Minsk | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 37:16 | 43 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38:23 | 40 |
| 5 | FC Gomel | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 33:18 | 39 |
| 6 | Neman | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 37 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 28:21 | 36 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 30:28 | 34 |
| 9 | Zhodino | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | 27 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 11 | FK Baranovici | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:38 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 24:41 | 23 |
| 13 | Belshina | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:36 | 21 |
| 14 | BATE | 22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 15 | Dnepr Mogilev | 23 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 20:36 | 16 |
| 16 | Naftan | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:54 | 14 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)
