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Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman Prediction & H2H Stats

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Stadion Spartak, Mogilev
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Martynov T.
Assist: Kirilenko K.
40' Event
Kirilenko K.
43'
Gushchenko D.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga game between Dnepr Mogilev and Neman finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dnepr Mogilev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Dnepr Mogilev
35%
Draws
53%
Neman
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Neman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Neman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Neman taking it.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 16%
Neman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Neman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 11 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman
2:0
Jan 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman
0:0
Aug 25, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Neman vs Dnepr Mogilev
3:1
Apr 13, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman
0:2
Jan 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Neman
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Martynov T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kirilenko K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Neman Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 11 / 100
Neman 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Neman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Neman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Dnepr Mogilev went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS Neman
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2
Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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Neman

(Away)
19 Sept
Isloch Minsk
1 : 2
Neman
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0
Zhodino
06 Sept
Belshina
2 : 2
Neman
29 Aug
Neman
1 : 0
Slavia Mozyr
22 Aug
Naftan
0 : 2
Neman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isloch Minsk 22 13 6 3 37:18 45
2 ML Vitebsk 21 12 8 1 42:17 44
3 Din. Minsk 21 13 4 4 37:16 43
4 Dynamo Brest 23 12 4 7 38:23 40
5 FC Gomel 23 11 6 6 33:18 39
6 Neman 22 11 4 7 26:20 37
7 Vitebsk 23 10 6 7 28:21 36
8 FC Minsk 23 10 4 9 30:28 34
9 Zhodino 22 7 6 9 28:29 27
10 Slavia Mozyr 22 6 7 9 23:26 25
11 FK Baranovici 23 6 7 10 24:38 25
12 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 23 5 8 10 24:41 23
13 Belshina 22 5 6 11 22:36 21
14 BATE 22 3 9 10 16:27 18
15 Dnepr Mogilev 23 2 10 11 20:36 16
16 Naftan 23 3 5 15 20:54 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2027 (Main)