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Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Teverov R.
17' Event
Zgomba M.
21' Event
Pulkach V.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Dnepr Mogilev
28%
Draws
50%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vitebsk have won more games recently than Dnepr Mogilev.
  • Vitebsk are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vitebsk have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 18%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
1:6
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
2:4
Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Sedzich P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zgomba M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Teverov R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 23 / 100
Vitebsk 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dnepr Mogilev found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Vitebsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dnepr Mogilev stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS Vitebsk
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3
Dnepr Mogilev
10 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 2
FC Minsk
04 Jul
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
28 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev
2 : 0
Neman
20 Jun
FC Gomel
2 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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Vitebsk

(Away)
18 Jul
Ostrovets
2 : 3
Vitebsk
12 Jul
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 3
Vitebsk
04 Jul
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
27 Jun
Din. Minsk
1 : 1
Vitebsk
20 Jun
Vitebsk
1 : 2
Dynamo Brest
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