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Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Teverov R.
17' Event
Zgomba M.
21' Event
Pulkach V.

AI Match Summary

Vitebsk in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dnepr Mogilev
30%
Draws
52%
Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitebsk have won more games recently than Dnepr Mogilev.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vitebsk have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 16%
Vitebsk Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
1:6
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
2:4
Jul 12, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Dnepr Mogilev vs Vitebsk
0:1
Nov 8, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Vitebsk vs Dnepr Mogilev
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev Compare

Top Goalscorer Sedzich P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zgomba M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Teverov R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev 31 / 100
Vitebsk 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dnepr Mogilev found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Vitebsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Dnepr Mogilev stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev VS Vitebsk
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev

(Home)
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0
Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
14 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
Belshina
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Dnepr Mogilev
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Vitebsk

(Away)
04 Sept
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0
Vitebsk
28 Aug
Vitebsk
2 : 0
Naftan
21 Aug
FC Minsk
0 : 1
Vitebsk
15 Aug
BATE
1 : 0
Vitebsk
08 Aug
Vitebsk
1 : 0
Neman
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