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Dnepr Mogilev W vs Naftan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women SDYuShOR-7 Stadium, Mogilev
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Stezhko D.
26' Event
Kuntsevich A.
Own Goal
32' Event
Tsabur C.

AI Match Summary

The Vysshaya Liga Women game between Dnepr Mogilev W and Naftan W finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dnepr Mogilev W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dnepr Mogilev W
15%
Draws
38%
Naftan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dnepr Mogilev W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Dnepr Mogilev W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dnepr Mogilev W a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dnepr Mogilev W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Dnepr Mogilev W Clean Sheet 16%
Naftan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnepr Mogilev W Naftan W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 23 16
Draws 3 1
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 4.25 2.1
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Naftan W
4:2
Jun 14, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
1:4
Aug 24, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
1:0
Jul 30, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Dnepr Mogilev W vs Naftan W
2:0
May 8, 2025 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Dnepr Mogilev W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dnepr Mogilev W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stezhko D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsabur C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Naftan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidorchuk V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnepr Mogilev W 84 / 100
Naftan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnepr Mogilev W Naftan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnepr Mogilev W found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Dnepr Mogilev W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Naftan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dnepr Mogilev W VS Naftan W
4 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dnepr Mogilev W

(Home)
27 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev W
4 : 2
Naftan W
20 Sept
Dyussh-Polesgu W
0 : 6
Dnepr Mogilev W
11 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev W
7 : 0
Smorgon W
05 Sept
Din. Minsk W
1 : 6
Dnepr Mogilev W
28 Aug
FC Gomel W
0 : 10
Dnepr Mogilev W
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Naftan W

(Away)
27 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev W
4 : 2
Naftan W
19 Sept
Naftan W
2 : 1
Belshina W
12 Sept
Naftan W
6 : 0
Dyussh-Polesgu W
28 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 1
Naftan W
23 Aug
Naftan W
3 : 2
FC Gomel W
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