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Dnyapro vs Slavia Mozyr

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2019/2020
Mon, Mar 9, 2020
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dnyapro play Slavia Mozyr in the Belarusian Cup 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dnyapro averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Slavia Mozyr averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Dnyapro won 0, Slavia Mozyr won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2020 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Dnyapro and 1.11 for Slavia Mozyr. This points to a Slavia Mozyr double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Dnyapro
15%
Draws
53%
Slavia Mozyr
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slavia Mozyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Dnyapro picked up more points recently compared to Slavia Mozyr.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Dnyapro Clean Sheet 21%
Slavia Mozyr Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dnyapro Slavia Mozyr
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.23 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Slavia Mozyr vs Dnyapro
3:0
Mar 9, 2020 Belarusian Cup
Dnyapro vs Slavia Mozyr
0:3
Aug 17, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Slavia Mozyr vs Dnyapro
1:0
Apr 12, 2019 Vysshaya Liga
Dnyapro vs Slavia Mozyr
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dnyapro 33 / 100
Slavia Mozyr 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dnyapro Slavia Mozyr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Mozyr Win (2)
Secondary Pick Slavia Mozyr & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dnyapro attacking → ← attacking Slavia Mozyr

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dnyapro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Slavia Mozyr let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Dnyapro went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Slavia Mozyr lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 50
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88