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Dobrovce vs NK Smartno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dobrovce host NK Smartno in the 3. SNL - East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. NK Smartno have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Dobrovce have conceded 2.48 and scored 1.11. Head-to-head, Dobrovce have won 3 to NK Smartno's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.56, favoring NK Smartno. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Dobrovce
15%
Draws
57%
NK Smartno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Smartno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Dobrovce haven't matched NK Smartno's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans NK Smartno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dobrovce Clean Sheet 10%
NK Smartno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dobrovce NK Smartno
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Dobrovce
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs NK Smartno
0:1
Nov 16, 2024 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs NK Smartno
4:1
Aug 18, 2024 3. SNL - East
NK Smartno vs Dobrovce
3:0
Mar 30, 2024 3. SNL - East
Dobrovce vs NK Smartno
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dobrovce 10 / 100
NK Smartno 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dobrovce NK Smartno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NK Smartno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dobrovce scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

NK Smartno has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Dobrovce has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dobrovce VS NK Smartno
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dobrovce

(Home)
03 Oct
NK Ormoz
4 : 3
Dobrovce
30 Sept
Dobrovce
0 : 3
Hajdina
19 Sept
Sampion Celje
0 : 2
Dobrovce
12 Sept
Dobrovce
1 : 3
Odranci
06 Sept
SD Videm
2 : 3
Dobrovce
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NK Smartno

(Away)
03 Oct
NK Smartno
4 : 0
Limbus-Pekre
26 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 2
NK Smartno
19 Sept
NK Smartno
8 : 1
Podvinci
12 Sept
NK Carda Martjanci
7 : 1
NK Smartno
05 Sept
NK Smartno
2 : 1
Race
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Odranci 8 6 2 0 24:11 20
2 NK Smartno 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
3 Fuzinar 8 5 1 2 27:20 16
4 NK Ormoz 8 5 1 2 21:14 16
5 Podvinci 9 4 2 3 15:17 14
6 Hajdina 9 3 4 2 16:15 13
7 NK Carda Martjanci 8 3 3 2 20:15 12
8 Korotan Prevalje 8 2 5 1 13:11 11
9 SD Videm 9 3 2 4 15:19 11
10 Race 8 2 3 3 9:9 9
11 Ljutomer 9 2 2 5 12:14 8
12 Dobrovce 8 2 0 6 11:23 6
13 Sampion Celje 8 1 1 6 11:19 4
14 Limbus-Pekre 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
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