Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dobrudzha vs Beroe

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Druzhba, Dobrich
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Borgnino M.
37'
Ramadan A.
57'
Sub
Yovkov S. In: Sonha T.
Out: Yovkov S.

AI Match Summary

Beroe in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beroe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dobrudzha
30%
Draws
47%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Beroe have won more games recently than Dobrudzha.
  • Beroe are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 14%
Beroe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dobrudzha Beroe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Beroe
2:2
May 10, 2026 efbet League
Dobrudzha vs Beroe
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 efbet League
Dobrudzha vs Beroe
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 efbet League
Beroe vs Dobrudzha
1:0
Jun 28, 2023 Club Friendly
Beroe vs Dobrudzha
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dobrudzha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Beroe Compare

Top Goalscorer Valbuena Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dobrudzha 23 / 100
Beroe 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dobrudzha Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beroe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beroe has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Dobrudzha's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Dobrudzha remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dobrudzha VS Beroe
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dobrudzha

(Home)
27 Sept
Hebar
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Beroe
0 : 0
Montana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)