Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dobrudzha vs Lok. Sofia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Druzhba, Dobrich
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Caue Caruzo
Assist: Delev S.
17' Event
Katsarov B.
Assist: Delev S.
28'
Sub
Angelov A. In: Hanne B.
Out: Angelov A.

AI Match Summary

Lok. Sofia in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lok. Sofia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dobrudzha
33%
Draws
40%
Lok. Sofia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Lok. Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Dobrudzha average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Lok. Sofia's 1.
  • Lok. Sofia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular efbet League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lok. Sofia have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 15%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dobrudzha Lok. Sofia
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 efbet League
Dobrudzha vs Lok. Sofia
0:3
Mar 5, 2026 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Dobrudzha
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 efbet League
Dobrudzha vs Lok. Sofia
2:2
Mar 14, 2021 Vtora liga
Lok. Sofia vs Dobrudzha
4:1
Sep 10, 2020 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Lok. Sofia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dobrudzha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lok. Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Caue Caruzo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Katsarov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dobrudzha 27 / 100
Lok. Sofia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dobrudzha Lok. Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Dobrudzha scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Dobrudzha remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dobrudzha VS Lok. Sofia
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dobrudzha

(Home)
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
11 Jul
Spartak Varna
7 : 3
Dobrudzha
08 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 2
Dobrudzha
01 Jul
Dunav Ruse
1 : 1
Dobrudzha
22 May
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Sofia

(Away)
21 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 1
Lok. Sofia
11 Jul
Lok. Sofia
0 : 0
Teuta
04 Jul
Lok. Sofia
3 : 3
Dukagjini
26 Jun
Lok. Sofia
2 : 1
Drita
22 May
Spartak Varna
3 : 0
Lok. Sofia
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
9Botev Vratsa3713141036:3253
10Lok. Sofia3711141251:4847
11Slavia Sofia3712101542:4446
12Spartak Varna378131635:5737
13Septemvri Sofia37991932:6436
14Beroe377131728:5234
15Dobrudzha37872228:5231
16Montana374112221:5523
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)