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Doce Mel U20 vs ABB U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doce Mel U20 play ABB U20 in the Baiano U20 2022. ABB U20 are favorites here. Recently, Doce Mel U20 averaged 0.74 goals scored and 2.78 conceded. ABB U20 averaged 1.43 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Doce Mel U20 won 0, ABB U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.77 for Doce Mel U20 and 2.71 for ABB U20. This points to a ABB U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Doce Mel U20
15%
Draws
62%
ABB U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ABB U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Doce Mel U20 picked up more points recently compared to ABB U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.77 vs 2.71 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Doce Mel U20 Clean Sheet 10%
ABB U20 Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel U20 ABB U20
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 3 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.78 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.17

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Baiano U20
Doce Mel U20 vs ABB U20
0:6
Jul 18, 2021 Baiano U20
Doce Mel U20 vs ABB U20
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel U20 23 / 100
ABB U20 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel U20 ABB U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ABB U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick ABB U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Doce Mel U20 attacking → ← attacking ABB U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doce Mel U20 scored in 57% of their last 23 games.

ABB U20 let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Doce Mel U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

ABB U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 25
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.67
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.17

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia U20954022:619
2Camacariense U20954021:919
3Juazeirense U20953122:718
4Canaa U20953121:918
5ABB U20942321:1114
6UNIRB U20942316:1314
7Catuense U20931517:1510
8Leonico U2092075:206
9Doce Mel U2090184:321
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vitoria U20871024:722
2Jacuipense U20861124:619
3Vitoria da Conquista U2085129:916
4Fluminense de Feira U20842215:914
5Bahia de Feira U20832312:711
6Grapiuna U2082158:157
7Atlantico EC U2082066:186
8Botafogo BA U2081255:125
9Barcelona FC U2081078:283