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Doce Mel U20 vs Vitoria da Conquista U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Baiano U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria da Conquista U20 in this Baiano U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria da Conquista U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Doce Mel U20
15%
Draws
34%
Vitoria da Conquista U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Doce Mel U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria da Conquista U20 have won more games recently than Doce Mel U20.
  • Vitoria da Conquista U20 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Doce Mel U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Vitoria da Conquista U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doce Mel U20 Vitoria da Conquista U20
Matches Played 23 31
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.74 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.78 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2023 Baiano U20
Doce Mel U20 vs Vitoria da Conquista U20
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doce Mel U20 16 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista U20 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doce Mel U20 Vitoria da Conquista U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Vitoria da Conquista U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Vitoria da Conquista U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Doce Mel U20's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vitoria da Conquista U20
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Doce Mel U20

(Home)
07 May
Alagoinhas U20
2 : 1
Doce Mel U20
30 Apr
Doce Mel U20
2 : 1
Barcelona FC U20
23 Apr
Leonico U20
1 : 3
Doce Mel U20
19 Apr
Doce Mel U20
2 : 4
Vitoria da Conquista U20
15 Apr
Vitoria U20
3 : 0
Doce Mel U20
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Vitoria da Conquista U20

(Away)
13 Jun
Jacuipense U20
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista U20
06 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista U20
0 : 2
Jacuipense U20
03 Jun
Grapiuna U20
2 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
30 May
Vitoria da Conquista U20
9 : 0
Catuense U20
24 May
Conquista FC U20
0 : 0
Vitoria da Conquista U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia de Feira U20 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Bahia U20 8 6 0 2 16:8 18
3 Jacuipense U20 8 5 1 2 15:6 16
4 Atlantico EC U20 8 3 3 2 15:12 12
5 SSA U20 8 3 3 2 12:16 12
6 Itabuna U20 8 4 0 4 15:20 12
7 Juazeiro U20 8 2 0 6 12:22 6
8 UNIRB U20 8 1 1 6 11:16 4
9 Juazeirense U20 8 0 2 6 8:19 2
Promotion - Baiano U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria U20 9 8 1 0 30:3 25
2 Camacariense U20 9 6 2 1 17:5 20
3 Conquista FC U20 9 5 1 3 11:8 16
4 Atlantico EC U20 8 3 3 2 15:12 12
5 Vitoria da Conquista U20 8 4 0 4 11:11 12
6 Jacobinense U20 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
7 Doce Mel U20 9 3 0 6 9:15 9
8 Alagoinhas U20 9 2 2 5 7:16 8
9 Leonico U20 9 2 1 6 12:30 7
10 Esporte Clube Pocoes U20 9 0 0 9 5:25 0
Promotion - Baiano U20 2023 (Play Offs)